Expected Moves this week, Oracle, Adobe, SPY, QQQ, IWM and more.


Qualcomm and Tesla are among the stocks powering the QQQ’s higher this morning. Tesla received an upgrade from Morgan Stanley, Qualcomm is higher on news of providing 5G chips for iPhones out through 2026.

On the earnings from this week, we have Oracle today after the bell, and Adobe on Thursday. The big economic data of the week is CPI on Wednesday but we also have the ECB rate decision, US Retail Sales, and PPI on Thursday. All potentially market moving.

Weekly Expected Moves:

  • SPY: 1.1%
  • QQQ: 1.4%
  • IWM: 1.4%

Oracle Earnings

Options are pricing about a 4.5% move. That’s higher than the past 4 actual earnings moves in the stock which were 0%, -3%, -1% and -1%. One would have to assume that the reason for expectations of a larger move than recent ones center around any AI updates in the numbers and on the call. AI has breathed life into some of these old tech stocks and makes for a but more mystery on calls.


  • Tesla Inc (TSLA) +5.94%
  • Qualcomm Inc (QCOM) +4.52%
  • Hostess Brands Inc (TWNK) +18.32%
  • Xpeng Inc ADR (XPEV) +4.27%
  • Astrazeneca Plc ADR (AZN) -2.96%
  • Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Inc (CRNX) +60.93%

Earnings Highlights:

  • Oracle (ORCL) Expected Move: 4.6%
  • Casey’s General Stores, Inc. (CASY) Expected Move: 4.20%

Full list here: Options AI Earnings Calendar


Overbought (RSI): OKTA (76), XLE (72), HAL (70), ORCL (70), IBM (69)

Oversold (RSI): JBLU (17), JWN (22), CHWY (23), JETS (27), UPS (27)

High IV: ORCL (+127%), HTZ (+97%), PFE (+96%), MU (+96%), PEP (+93%)

Unusual Options Volume: WE (+1668%), DOCU (+686%), AMC (+600%), ORCL (+442%), HPQ (+399%), SQ (+384%), BILI (+379%), SNOW (+326%), INTC (+314%), ABNB (+287%), LCID (+277%), TSLA (+272%), WYNN (+269%)

Options Education

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VIDEO: Options AI Trade Ticket (multi-leg spread)

Based upon publicly available information derived from option prices at the time of publishing. Intended for informational and educational purposes only and is not any form of recommendation of a particular security, strategy or to open a brokerage account. Options price data and past performance data should not be construed as being indicative of future results and do not guarantee future results or returns. Options involve risk, including exposing investors to potentially significant losses and are therefore not suitable for all investors. Option spreads involve additional risks that should be fully understood prior to investing. Securities trading is offered through Options AI Financial, LLC, member FINRA and SIPC.

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